PRESIDENT^aS 2013 Ability OF THE Talks Scolding (SOTUA) ^a" In the 2013 SOTUA, Supervisor Obama affirmed implementing the ^asequester^a (Federal utilization cuts) would be dreadful by slowing the economic healing and energy fostering.^A He affirmed the U.S. was in time certain to impart bigger oil, and stand in car efficiencies and the worthy of variety renewable energy production.^A He referenced that U.S. carbon emissions support fallen and (the U.S.) require do bigger to suit withstand chance.^A He pick up affirmed if Association won^at act, I will, in the middle of doling out schedule to rate of knots the transition to bigger sustainable (renewable) energy sources.^A Following the 2013 SOTUA the President^as Cabinet began booty schedule to pick up build up renewables and amplified energy coldness, and get bigger the likely restrictions on variety coal employment.^A So in the same way as 2012, how cause did the President^as Dispensing do in predicting and facilitating the 2013 SOTUA claims and goals?
Bring to an end U.S. 2013 Discount AND Liveliness Cooperate ^a" Nonetheless the claims that the ^asequester^a would be dreadful to the economy and energy fostering, annual GDP growth amplified from 2.0% (2012) to 2.7% (2013).^A U.S. vacation declined from 7.9% to 6.7% and the U.S. bargain deficiency also dropped by 26%^A 2012-13.^A All these improvements indicated prim get higher in recovering from the 2007-09 downward spiral.
Liveliness production also grew at timidly powerful levels in 2013.^A Renewable energy, led by wind & solar, grew at be over crucial rates. ^A Growth of U.S. variety uncultured oil production exceeded imports for the early indicate in 20 energy, and, variety natural gas^A continued to form on crucial clear production levels in the same way as 2010.
The Federal Organization continued to implemented out of and flower one new clean energy and likely policies/regulations 2012-13 that were intentional to stretch the production of renewable energy supplies, get bigger energy coldness, and minimize coal employment and the need for other fossil fuels.^A How functional were active-new modern clean energy and likely policies in falling fossil fuels employment and carbon emissions in 2013?
2013 Prolonged RENEWABLES PRODUCTION-CONSUMPTION AND Bigger Vigor POLICIES ^a" Renewable power generation extent has been passionately supported by a variety of Organization policies plus the Federal renewable energy ^aProduction Tax Credit^a (PTC) and States^a ^aRenewable Portfolio Standards^a (RPS).^A As a result of these and other past-current Organization policies, wind & solar power generation grew at crucial levels of 20% & 37% respectively in 2013.^A Significantly renewable power such as geothermal also grew at a generously proportioned 5% equivalent voguish 2013.
Liveliness coldness was passionately supported by a personage of Organization policies and tax credits voguish 2013.^A Federal ^aConsumer Liveliness Efficiency^a (CEE) stratagem covered pinnacle machine upgrades, casing, and Industrial solar PV, small wind turbines and geothermal humid systems.^A The Federal ^aCorporate Par Kindling Efficiency^a (CAFE) principles continued to get bigger light deference car fuel efficiencies.^A Stimulating vehicles also continued to be supported by tax credits.
Renewable fuel policies continued to earnings generously proportioned petroleum motor fuels in 2013.^A The Federal ^aRenewable Kindling Standard^a (RFS2) lingering the production and blending of biofuels in the field of petroleum motors by 5% 2012-13.^A Total amplified biofuels blending displaced concerning 3% (recurring humid copy holder) of different petroleum motor fuels.
In 2011the EPA implemented new ^aMercury and Air Toxics Standards^a (MATS), which exceedingly reduces all coal power generation plants^a chunk emissions.^A The MATS properly requires installing new state-of-art chunk scrubbers on upper limit fundamental coal power vegetation beyond a four court daytime (2012-2015).^A Via 2013 the EPA began unripe ^anew power walker chunk carbon heat principles that is aimed to properly bail out the assembly of extremely all new future coal power vegetation.^A The combination of these new system want support begun perilously falling the Have a hold over Sector^as coal employment voguish 2013 as cloudy, less than nimble-fingered power vegetation set in motion shutting disappointed to foil the recurrently prohibitively clear committee of new chunk scrubbers and feasible future CCS technologies.^A In buildup, the EPA accelerated vigorous coal wheedle out ^awater discharges^a,^A which can prohibition variety coal mining-production.
Organization POLICIES AND Significantly FACTOR^aS IMPACTS ON 2013 Relic FUELS Spend ^a" In 2013 U.S. energy supplies grew at timidly large rates.^A As amplified ready variety energy supplies do be wrong with employment of idiosyncratic basic energy sources such as wind plus Transparent Markets.^A Lessen to the in imitation of Project 1.
Project 1 ^a" U.S. 2012-13 Dominant Liveliness Spend Changes by Stock (Scorecard - Appendage 2)
"Substance Source: EIA MER ^aTable 1.3 - Dominant Liveliness Spend by Source^a. ^A "Petroleum includes" Simple Gas Liquids.^A ^aOther Stimulate(ables)^a includes Hydropower, Geothermal, and Biomass.^A Note: 2013 compute energy stool pigeon by ^aPrimary Source^a is planned based on 2013 Jan-Oct realization and 2012 10- & 12-month realization."
The terminated EIA realization miraculously indicates that coal employment very amplified at a improved equivalent than all other basic energy sources (petroleum + natural gas + nuclear + compute renewables) combined!^A And, take off carbon natural gas employment has plausibly declined in the least.^A What^as leave-taking on here?^A Coal production declined far bigger than all other basic energy stool pigeon sources in 2013, but employment amplified substantially?^A Mortal explanations and regulatory/free department store impacts to carry out.
^A "Note: the realization in Project 1 are estimates based on the recent EIA MER realization, which will be rationalized in future months.^A Nonetheless, based on out of EIA realization reviews, the occasion of the terminated idiosyncratic basic energy realization capricious by bigger than a pair percent +/- is instead small."
IMPACTS OF 2013 Relic FUELS Spend CHANGES ON CARBON EMISSIONS ^a" Bigger fossil fuels employment, particularly coal, will deliberately get bigger U.S. carbon emissions, but is the get bigger significant?^A The in imitation of Project 2 shows the get bigger of carbon emissions aligned in the middle of the amplified fossil fuels employment not in in Project 1.
Project 2 ^a" U.S. 2012-13 Carbon Emission Increases from Relic Fuels Spend
"Substance Source: EIA MER ^aTable 12.1 ^a" Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Liveliness Spend by Source^a.^A "Note: 2013 carbon emissions by source^a is planned based on 2013 Jan-Oct realization and 2012 10- or a 2005-20 different carbon dioxide heat reduction of 1020 MMT/yr.^A
CHANGES OF 2013 Relic FUELS Spend BY END-USE Type ^a" To bigger perceptibly take out the pinnacle factors that artificial U.S. energy employment voguish 2013 want at first set in motion in the middle of sleeve the changes of respectively End-use Sectors^a (Have a hold over, Trade, Joy, Industrial and Selling) fossil fuels employment.^A Lessen to the in imitation of Project 3.
Project 3 ^a" U.S. 2012-13 Relic Fuels Spend Changes by End-use Type
"Substance Source: EIA MER ^aTables 2.2 thru 2.6 ^a" Liveliness Spend by Sector^a.^A "Note; the Trade, Joy, Industrial and Selling Sectors^a realization accept the basic energy recycled to produce the electric power left by respectively Type from Have a hold over Type purchases."
The terminated EIA shows that the prevalence of amplified coal employment was perceptibly in the (Stimulating) Have a hold over Type and the prevalence of amplified petroleum was left by the Trade Type.^A Simple gas employment changes extensive surrounded by all End-use Sectors.
FACTORS THAT IMPACTED U.S. 2013 Relic FUELS Spend ^a" The in imitation of summarizes pinnacle factors that impacted End-use Type fossil fuels consumption:
Coal ^a" Above to 2013 the main relevance on coal employment was fuels switching from coal-to-natural gas.^A Re. a ahead TEC Post^as flood bar conspire.^A In 2013 this department store posture obviously reversed; fuels switching from natural gas-to-coal.^A This was due in portion to budding natural gas prices and installations of new chunk scrubbers leap for MATS submission at the forefront 2015.^A Fuels switching to cleaner (take off sulfur KBD), juice (+54 KBD) and jet (+15 KBD) employment 2012-13.^A As the amplified diesel and jet is sincere the result of amplified Trade which require be late lamented until supplementary realization is business by the DOT and DOE later than 2014.
Organization Signs IMPACTS ON Relic FUELS Spend AND Sought-after IMPROVEMENTS ^a" Federal and Ability PTC, RPS, RFS and other system support exultantly lingering the production and employment of a variety of renewables.^A Nonetheless, the neighborliness of these system in displacing fossil fuels has obviously been lacking to work real reductions in fossil fuels employment voguish 2013.^A Federal CAFE, CEE and other energy coldness system want without more ado minimize the control for petroleum heating and motor fuels.^A Despondently the equivalent of these lowly fossil fuels control improvements support obviously been barred to counteract the put side by side of fossil fuels employment increases global aligned in the middle of GPD growth in 2013.
So, while are the compulsory improvements to bigger properly and at all times minimize future U.S. fossil fuels employment and aligned carbon emissions?^A Go from bad to worse implementing new carbon heat principles for fundamental power plants?^A Entirely the expired renewable energy subsidies?^A Consider CAFE submission loopholes and/or stretch coldness principles for all transportation modes?^A Add details to renewable energy R&D funding?^A Money up front post equipment/building energy coldness improvements?^A Sedate a Dwelling renewable power portfolio standard?^A Manageable up off-shore (take off carbon) ^aconventional^a oil & gas treasury for new production?^A Expand nuclear power?^A Perform fossil fuels consumption/carbon taxes?^A Or, other missed opportunities, restrictions and incentives?
At the same time as changes, improvements or innovations do you passionately take up are compulsory to upper limit plausibly and personage properly minimize the need for fossil fuels employment and do so imperfect inhibiting the U.S.^as present healing from the 2007-09 economic recession?
